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a lot of the conditions in the economy are slow. it spending is to the really that great. so i don't know if the estimates are that achievable. i also think that yeah, better risk/reward in other sectors in the market. we're trying to advise our clients how to outperform the s&p. i think there is better opportuniy. within tech there are some things we like where recommending suck stocks for example. i think that is one economically sensitive area that the stocks haven't participated that much in the rally. >> susie: let's talk about the areas that have been telling your clients, morgan stanley clients which direction to go. you have three big themes for your clients. buy stocks with from american companies with exposure to china, positive on china. buy dividend paying stocks and you like very large stocks, what you call megastocks. why are these the themes for you? >> well, look, for china i think we identified late last fall that the u.s. companies with china exposure had really lagged the broader market and had gotten quite cheap. and the china economy started to stabili
a lot of the conditions in the economy are slow. it spending is to the really that great. so i don't know if the estimates are that achievable. i also think that yeah, better risk/reward in other sectors in the market. we're trying to advise our clients how to outperform the s&p. i think there is better opportuniy. within tech there are some things we like where recommending suck stocks for example. i think that is one economically sensitive area that the stocks haven't participated that...
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Jan 16, 2013
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on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. hae a great evenin everye. and you, too, tom. >> tom:ood night, susie. we'll see you online at www.nbr.com and back here tomorrow night. captioning sponsored by wpbt captioned by media access group at wgbh access.wgbh.org
on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. hae a great evenin everye. and you, too, tom. >> tom:ood night, susie. we'll see you online...
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on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, jnuary 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you online at www.nbr.com and back here tomorrow night. captioning sponsored by wpbt captioned by media access group at wgbh access.wgbh.org
on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, jnuary 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you...
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Jan 16, 2013
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on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you online at www.nbr.com and back here tomorrow night. captioning sponsored by wpbt captioned by media access group at wgbh access.wgbh.org >>> tonight on "spark" -- we meet artists who fuse genres, cultures and modes of expression in ways that are surprising and provocative. in our first story, we'll check out the growing phenomenon of muslim hip-hop. >> home of the brave, land of the free, now this i still got to see. it's not what mainstream muslims really talk about. >> they're realizing that their kids are being influenced by rap music more than anything else, including them. >>> then -- we'll visit the west marin studio o
on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you...
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Jan 15, 2013
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you know, the economy, you know, two steps forward, one step back, and corporate america can't carry the water. it will be difficult for the market, and priced pretty much to perfection at the current level with popular averages, not leaving room for disappointment. liz: hate one step forward, two back -- >> no, the other way. liz: either way, not moving fast. is that at a decent clip? >> actually, that's something we talked about last week on the show, and what we're looking at, again, south africa, right now, the mining situation is getting worse and worse, and -- liz: labor issues? >> the strikes, strikes, labor issues, and a threat that some of the major companies are shutting down the mines until they resolve this. we'll have a shortage in these areas, and, also, seeing platinum taking a bit of a piggy back ride up. it's at the 1680s mirroring where gold is now. silver is joining along for the ride. we're seeing a lot happening with the precious metals. liz: platinum is higher than gold for the first time in ten months. do you care? is that significant? it's 1682 against 1680, t
you know, the economy, you know, two steps forward, one step back, and corporate america can't carry the water. it will be difficult for the market, and priced pretty much to perfection at the current level with popular averages, not leaving room for disappointment. liz: hate one step forward, two back -- >> no, the other way. liz: either way, not moving fast. is that at a decent clip? >> actually, that's something we talked about last week on the show, and what we're looking at,...
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we will let you know what he's saying about our economy and the future fed action. as we know that can be market moving. this event could move the markets tomorrow. david: that's a live picture coming out of michigan. we will be going right back there. also the news of apple cutting down orders for iphone parts is driving the stock way down again today. we have an apple analyst who cut his price target by 150 bucks back in december. does he think it's also time for the company to cut their ceo tim cook? sandra: shares of dell soaring on talk of a buyout. more on both tech stories coming up. keep it right here. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] this is karen anjeremiah. they don't know it yet, but they' gonna fall in love, get married, have a couple of kids, [ children laughing ] move to the country, and live a long, happy life together where they almost never fight about money. [ dog barks ] because right after they get married, they'll find some retirement people who are paid on salary, not commission. they'll get straightforrd guidance and be able to focus on other thing
we will let you know what he's saying about our economy and the future fed action. as we know that can be market moving. this event could move the markets tomorrow. david: that's a live picture coming out of michigan. we will be going right back there. also the news of apple cutting down orders for iphone parts is driving the stock way down again today. we have an apple analyst who cut his price target by 150 bucks back in december. does he think it's also time for the company to cut their ceo...
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Jan 14, 2013
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fuel economy, cafe, and people's driving habits. more conscious fuel economy. we see a small growing small car segment. as p gr as /* people want the functionality that shows their personality and we believe this does that. >> is the bounce back, as far as recovering from the economy and u.s. sales. >> i think the playing field is level. we are starting the year with good inventory. same time last year we didn't have good inventory. this year it is a level play be field. we think we have tail wind as an industry going into the year. age of the car fleet. 11 plus years. all of those things. we think everybody is breaking great new product to market. we think that will stimulate as well. >> you are in california. you are seeing sales way above the national average in terms of increases there. does that pretend that rest of the country follows in 2013-14. >> historically we looked to the coast, california and new york, as bell weathers for the rest of the nation. if that pattern stays true, yes, we think that that result could come across the u.s. and we could get
fuel economy, cafe, and people's driving habits. more conscious fuel economy. we see a small growing small car segment. as p gr as /* people want the functionality that shows their personality and we believe this does that. >> is the bounce back, as far as recovering from the economy and u.s. sales. >> i think the playing field is level. we are starting the year with good inventory. same time last year we didn't have good inventory. this year it is a level play be field. we think we...
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Jan 15, 2013
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the economy according to ben bernanke - what the fed chair has to say about the state of the country's finances. and, how automakers are setting a new pace for competition. plus, traders who are sweet and sour on apple. first business starts now. you're watching first business: financial news, analysis, and today's investment ideas. good morning. i'm angela miles. it's tuesday, january 15th. in today's first look: as facebook makes its big reveal on its new product today, shares briefly climbed above $32 yesterday. bloomberg news reports dell is in talks to end its trading days and go private. federal regulators order jp morgan chase to improve its risk management after losing billions in trading last year. and american airlines bond holders meet today to weigh in on whether the airline should merge with u.s. airways. ira epstein of the linn group joins us now. always a pleasure to have you on the show. what is going on with the market? it is so resilient. where is all this money coming from ira? > > think about it: 2012, the end of the year, we didn't know where we were in taxes, peop
the economy according to ben bernanke - what the fed chair has to say about the state of the country's finances. and, how automakers are setting a new pace for competition. plus, traders who are sweet and sour on apple. first business starts now. you're watching first business: financial news, analysis, and today's investment ideas. good morning. i'm angela miles. it's tuesday, january 15th. in today's first look: as facebook makes its big reveal on its new product today, shares briefly climbed...
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i want to see our economy recover. i would like to see this -- stronger labor markets, fiscal policy address the issues that i mentioned. there are a lot of difficult issues out there. i do think things are moving, not as fast as we would like, but in the right direction. i am cautiously optimistic about the next couple of years. >> thank you. [applause]as i mentioned, i am sure that there are a great many questions that have already been shared with our presenters. let me turn the floor to them. quick thank you for your comments chairman bernanke. i am a masters student. the first question is this -- if treasury minted a trillion dollar platinum coin, with the fed have except did it -- accepted it? >> i am not going to give that any oxygen. as you probably know, the treasury and federal reserve -- the treasury issued a statement that we did not think this was the right way to deal with this problem. there are legal issues and policy issues. the right way to deal with this problem, as i said earlier, is for congress to
i want to see our economy recover. i would like to see this -- stronger labor markets, fiscal policy address the issues that i mentioned. there are a lot of difficult issues out there. i do think things are moving, not as fast as we would like, but in the right direction. i am cautiously optimistic about the next couple of years. >> thank you. [applause]as i mentioned, i am sure that there are a great many questions that have already been shared with our presenters. let me turn the floor...
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to get the economy growing faster. >> would you be one? >> unlike the congress, the fed has done quite a lot and there isn't very much more the fed could do. i would certainly be with chairman bernanke. i was happy when they switched over, which is likely to have a bigger impact on the economy. the other thing i've been urging on the fed but they're not doing it is cut the interest rates by holding idle excess reserves in the hope that some of that will go into the economy. >> we have to leave it there, but thank you very much for your thoughts today. let's bring in don peebles of the peebles corporate. don, great to have you on the set today. >> good to be here. >> how does it play out? >> in the end it's a lot of drama about a profungtsry performance. the government needs to stand behind its credit. that's one of the benefits as a government, we get low rates because our credit is good. it's a shame we're spejd all this time. we spent much more than we take in. and we can't continue do that. we even done what we're going to do on the tax
to get the economy growing faster. >> would you be one? >> unlike the congress, the fed has done quite a lot and there isn't very much more the fed could do. i would certainly be with chairman bernanke. i was happy when they switched over, which is likely to have a bigger impact on the economy. the other thing i've been urging on the fed but they're not doing it is cut the interest rates by holding idle excess reserves in the hope that some of that will go into the economy. >>...
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economy is on good footing. any messages for washington as we approach another debt ceiling increase potentially, dan akerson of gm said don't screw up the economy holding it hose -- hose hostage, do you share that? >> uncertainty has to be removed as quickly as possible. it is not a good environment for consumer confidence to be built, so we're looking for resolution on debt ceiling, resolution on spending plans so that consumers can focus on really going about their business in a normal way. >> wants to build cars, not make policy. there you go. it's a good one. i owned ford explorers for 20 straight years. this is a real competitor to that vehicle. dennis: jeff flock, good job. thanks, den. cheryl: time for the west coast minute, a double digit return for the public employees pension system. it had a 2% return back in 2012. the nation's largest pension has investments worth $252 billion, almost back to its peak level of 2007 when the fund held $260 billion in assets. the fund's performance was just below its
economy is on good footing. any messages for washington as we approach another debt ceiling increase potentially, dan akerson of gm said don't screw up the economy holding it hose -- hose hostage, do you share that? >> uncertainty has to be removed as quickly as possible. it is not a good environment for consumer confidence to be built, so we're looking for resolution on debt ceiling, resolution on spending plans so that consumers can focus on really going about their business in a normal...
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economy. >>> and jump t to the top of the ftse 100 after third quarter revenue beat the forecast, burberry had earnings higher than expected. >>> all right. sorted out my mike issues. "worldwide exchange" is slightly different today because we're analyzing the first german gdp numbers. >> and i come to the u.s. where it's all annualized and we stick to the european data and it's quarter on quarter. given the context, we're still working through what all that means. >> exports in november, down 94.1 billion is where we essentially went. 98.4 billion was the october numbers. so exports in november driving down. and that gdp number is worth pulling out. exports for the year, up 4.1%. as far as production is concerned, it was up 2% in november. but the forecast were for it to rise up 1%. it was a very weak october, as well. it was this production and that production number. when that came out, it essentially made people put a pretty fourth quarter in the whole, kelly. what we're trying to do is de
economy. >>> and jump t to the top of the ftse 100 after third quarter revenue beat the forecast, burberry had earnings higher than expected. >>> all right. sorted out my mike issues. "worldwide exchange" is slightly different today because we're analyzing the first german gdp numbers. >> and i come to the u.s. where it's all annualized and we stick to the european data and it's quarter on quarter. given the context, we're still working through what all that...
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toying with the global economy. and so, i think it is somewhat -- it seems great to talk about to the ninth, but the closer you get to that class, the less likely it is that you'll find the u.s. over it. the mac for me ask one other in the loco to grind out third start. he told "politico" last week that a balanced approach replacing the sequesters spending cuts and revenue should accelerate tax refund is fully possible this year for work and by person basis. does that square with people estate tax reform is going to because of scheduling. need to do with the limits of kuester and the house republicans concern if they do anything on tax reform, that they may leave themselves open to the senate not taking action and therefore an unpopular vote for no reason. are you optimistic on tax reform? >> first of all, we have to resolve this debt crisis in terms of sequestration and intern says the full faith and credit of the u.s. in the next six weeks. we are going to accomplish tax reform in the next six weeks. so we have a
toying with the global economy. and so, i think it is somewhat -- it seems great to talk about to the ninth, but the closer you get to that class, the less likely it is that you'll find the u.s. over it. the mac for me ask one other in the loco to grind out third start. he told "politico" last week that a balanced approach replacing the sequesters spending cuts and revenue should accelerate tax refund is fully possible this year for work and by person basis. does that square with...
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economy. all of this in then you have the energy boom in the whole shale thing helping in that industry and related industries. there are a lot of bright spots in the u.s. you know, the guys in washington do not mock it up, we have a good shot. melissa: we have breaking news right now. i want to point you to the shares of facebook. down $0.60. that is good for almost 2%. we have this meeting going on right now. it is a major reversal for the stock. we are trying to get more details out of this meeting. we will have rob enderle on at the end to talk about it. shibani: i am following a couple of live logs on the event. the three pillars of facebook. when he unveiled today is his 23 pillar which is being called graph search. it is a graphical search. it is not a web search. that is one of the reasons we are seeing a selloff of facebook shares. again, what the company has unveiled at this moment is a surge in addition facebook. we will bring you more headlines as they come out. melissa: it is inte
economy. all of this in then you have the energy boom in the whole shale thing helping in that industry and related industries. there are a lot of bright spots in the u.s. you know, the guys in washington do not mock it up, we have a good shot. melissa: we have breaking news right now. i want to point you to the shares of facebook. down $0.60. that is good for almost 2%. we have this meeting going on right now. it is a major reversal for the stock. we are trying to get more details out of this...
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are the developing economies engines of growth? here with the outlook is daniel gamba, head of black rock's ishare's institutional business. a big year last year. is it going to keep up? >> a great year for etfs and emerging markets. emerging markets grew about 50% year over year, and it was five times the close the year prior, and it happened both on equities and on debt, and we expect that this year will continue to be that. a lot of the growth came in the fourth quarter, and these actually continues towards now. tracy: if i'm not in emerging markets, it's not too late to get in? >> it's not too late to get in. evaluations still low in the markets. we also believe the growth of the emerging market is 5% to 5.5% gdp growth to a developed world which is 2% in the u.s., 1% in europe, and so relatively speaking we expect growth to continue to go that way. tracy: i know one of your favorites is brazil. low evaluations, cheap basically; right? but really reliant on china. does that worry you? >> so we believe that china actually is com
are the developing economies engines of growth? here with the outlook is daniel gamba, head of black rock's ishare's institutional business. a big year last year. is it going to keep up? >> a great year for etfs and emerging markets. emerging markets grew about 50% year over year, and it was five times the close the year prior, and it happened both on equities and on debt, and we expect that this year will continue to be that. a lot of the growth came in the fourth quarter, and these...
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Jan 14, 2013
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the economy is contracting -- few feel like celebrating. the economy is contracting. the unemployment rate is higher than before ben ali's ousting. >> it is one of the largest religious gatherings in the world. millions of indians have bates together in the ganges to mark the start of the -- have bathed together in the ganges to mark the start of the maha kumbh mela religious festival. >> environmentalists have warned before that the ganges is heavily polluted. some 110 million people are expected to take part in the religious festival, which runs until mid-march. that is all for now. remember, you can find out more about these and other stories at our website, www.dw.de. >> thank you for watching. see you next time. captioned by the national captioning institute --www.ncicap.org--
the economy is contracting -- few feel like celebrating. the economy is contracting. the unemployment rate is higher than before ben ali's ousting. >> it is one of the largest religious gatherings in the world. millions of indians have bates together in the ganges to mark the start of the -- have bathed together in the ganges to mark the start of the maha kumbh mela religious festival. >> environmentalists have warned before that the ganges is heavily polluted. some 110 million...
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the economy is contracting -- few feel like celebrating. the economy is contracting. the unemployment rate is higher than before ben ali's ousting. >> it is one of the largest religious gatherings in the world. millions of indians have bates together in the ganges to mark the start of the -- have bathed together in the ganges to mark the start of the maha kumbh mela religious festival. >> environmentalists have warned before that the ganges is heavily polluted. some 110 million people are expected to take part in the religious festival, which runs until mid-march. that is all for now. remember, you can find out more about these and other stories at our website, www.dw.de. >> thank you for watching. see you next time. captioned by the national captioning institute --www.ncicap.org--
the economy is contracting -- few feel like celebrating. the economy is contracting. the unemployment rate is higher than before ben ali's ousting. >> it is one of the largest religious gatherings in the world. millions of indians have bates together in the ganges to mark the start of the -- have bathed together in the ganges to mark the start of the maha kumbh mela religious festival. >> environmentalists have warned before that the ganges is heavily polluted. some 110 million...
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so it is a large and complex economy. i don't know if you want to talk about the broader economy or not, but we can come back to it if you like. we have been seeing some improvement in the labor market. it is still not where we would like to be. growth has been moderate. there are some positive signs to look at. one of the key positives is housing. as you know, house prices fell about 30% and the amount of construction fell extraordinarily over this recession. now for the first time since 2007 or 2006, we see increases in production. rising house prices will affect household wealth. that is what i hope will be a better year in 2013 and 2014. a few other things that are positive, just to point out, is that state and local governments which had been very contraction remote -- great contraction ary mode, they are in better shape than they were. as a result, they will not be a drag on the academy that they have been in the last few years. -- on the economy that they have been in the last few years. energy. consumers are more
so it is a large and complex economy. i don't know if you want to talk about the broader economy or not, but we can come back to it if you like. we have been seeing some improvement in the labor market. it is still not where we would like to be. growth has been moderate. there are some positive signs to look at. one of the key positives is housing. as you know, house prices fell about 30% and the amount of construction fell extraordinarily over this recession. now for the first time since 2007...
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. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect time to consider legislation to cut spending. at the same time, only a handful of republicans have actually said they'd let the united states default on its bills. >> the president claims this, but republicans have always raised the debt ceiling. we've never seen the debt limit fail to be raised. all they have said is we want to apply the same criteria that the president himself applied when he was a senator and say we don't want to give the president a blank check. we would like to fix the substantive problem which is the level and the growth in the debt. >> reporter: markets are almost trea
. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect...
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the tailwind for housing recovery will provide for the banking sector for consumer confidence for our economy in general. we have to see financials do well kicking off tomorrow. david: we're going to talk the market just tomorrow about this, but is there any kind of move we could see a selloff springtime when a lot of people are saving their cash? >> that is so well advertised. everybody whereby short-term correction and to that point maybe people talking about the next of the 1425, the next resistance, going up to far too fast, but so well advertised. everybody knows what they are. still seems to be higher. everybody is thinking we will see a correction and that is probably why we will not see one. david: thank you very much. we will see you in a couple of minutes when the market closes. hang on for that. liz: let's bring in our panel for the market. let me begin with you. you are pretty bearish, but to say you're bearish is unfair to the viewers because the market is such a huge living, breathing creature. where are you most concerned and what do you like that doesn't scare you? >> we like
the tailwind for housing recovery will provide for the banking sector for consumer confidence for our economy in general. we have to see financials do well kicking off tomorrow. david: we're going to talk the market just tomorrow about this, but is there any kind of move we could see a selloff springtime when a lot of people are saving their cash? >> that is so well advertised. everybody whereby short-term correction and to that point maybe people talking about the next of the 1425, the...
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the companies that moved so aggressively overseas stopped being dragged down by our sluggish economy. the move is in its infancy. they were left for dead in 2012 and are roaring back to life. i think they will gain steam as the wrangling in washington goes on for the rest of the year and beyond. fred in ohio, fred? >> caller: yes, jim. boo-yah. this is fred from ohio. it's a pleasure to talk to you. >> we loved ohio when we went out there last year to see massillon play some other ohio team. we were in that town. >> caller: i've been watching you from day one. >> thank you. >> caller: i want to know what do you expect from pepsi on the first quarter earnings and china and the association with burger king and marketing. what do you think of the first quarter earnings? >> i think the ceo is going to deliver a really, really good quarter. i think that stock -- its emphasis on emerging markets, it's going to do a great job. i would own pepsico going into the quarter. dino in california, dino? >> caller: jimmy. >> yo-yo. >> caller: happy new year. >> happy new year. >> caller: by the way,
the companies that moved so aggressively overseas stopped being dragged down by our sluggish economy. the move is in its infancy. they were left for dead in 2012 and are roaring back to life. i think they will gain steam as the wrangling in washington goes on for the rest of the year and beyond. fred in ohio, fred? >> caller: yes, jim. boo-yah. this is fred from ohio. it's a pleasure to talk to you. >> we loved ohio when we went out there last year to see massillon play some other...
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economy barely grew 1% in the fourth quarter. we have a situation where it could be sluggish in the first quarter. we're up five points on the s&p since december since we had qe3 and the fed indicating they would target unemployment. to us it feels like we're in the stratosphere. >> the market down 20%. isn't that recession you're talking about? >> you got to think there's a danger. doesn't have to be a recession. you have to think there's a danger. if you look at the dynamics, you look at the consumer confidence numbers which are beginning to roll a little bit, there is a danger that could take place and a lot will depend on the resolution. look at the vix and these low levels on this downward sloping trend line the pattern is very similar to april of 2011. i'm sure you all remember that the stock market held up a little bit longer and turned in may and then between may and august it dropped 22%. what was the biggest factor? the debt ceiling negotiations. >> tom the market really rolled over in the spring of 2011 because trichet
economy barely grew 1% in the fourth quarter. we have a situation where it could be sluggish in the first quarter. we're up five points on the s&p since december since we had qe3 and the fed indicating they would target unemployment. to us it feels like we're in the stratosphere. >> the market down 20%. isn't that recession you're talking about? >> you got to think there's a danger. doesn't have to be a recession. you have to think there's a danger. if you look at the dynamics,...
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what do you think that tells us on where we are in the economy? >> look at numbers of the last week or two, retail production numbers for december, and they were actually pretty good. of course, the employment numbers we already know were soiled, and this is in a period where the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff was reaching a maximum. you know, maria, you think that's pretty encouraging that the economy has managed to cope with a high level of uncertainty. now the thing that kind of bothers me though is i'm a little bit worried that this coping is flipping over to complacency. the vix is now at a six-year low, and it tells me that the market is discounting 100% probability that we get through the debt ceiling without any trouble. that seems too high to me. >> so do you think the market is expecting that? i mean, when would you expect a big change in terms of the interest rate scenario? >> in terms of the interest rate scenario, probably nothing this year. i mean, we're at least a couple years away from a higher move -- a move higher in interest
what do you think that tells us on where we are in the economy? >> look at numbers of the last week or two, retail production numbers for december, and they were actually pretty good. of course, the employment numbers we already know were soiled, and this is in a period where the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff was reaching a maximum. you know, maria, you think that's pretty encouraging that the economy has managed to cope with a high level of uncertainty. now the thing that kind of...
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Jan 14, 2013
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it would be a self-inflicted wound on the economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession, and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. so even entertain the idea of this happening, of the united states of america not paying its bills, is irresponsible. it's absurd. as the speaker said two years ago, it would be, and i'm quoting, speaker boehner now, a finance ral disaster not only for us but for the worldwide economy. so we've got to pay our bills. and republicans in congress have two choices here. they can act responsibly and pay america's bills, or they can act irresponsibly and put america through another economic crisis. but they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. and they better choose quickly because time is running short. the last time republicans in congress even flirted with this idea our aaa credit
it would be a self-inflicted wound on the economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession, and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. so even entertain the idea of this happening, of the united states of america not paying its bills, is irresponsible. it's absurd. as the speaker said two years ago, it would be, and i'm quoting, speaker boehner now, a finance ral disaster not only for us but for the worldwide economy. so we've got to pay our bills. and republicans...
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Jan 21, 2013
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economy which means a lot to u.s. companies, but at the same time, the peso, if there is more pressure on that currency, what does that mean for us, do you think? >> so the peso has been pretty interesting because their central bank last week did a little bit of a 180 because they were expecting that they were going to be raising interest rates sometime here in 2013. and they kind of just pulled the rug out underneath it saying, you know, there's the potential that we might actually start to, you know, maybe reduce interest rates. [talking over each other] >> it was definitely something that caught participants by surprise, testing some previous 2012 lows there in terms of dollar mexico. it will be interesting to see if that trend continues. but mexico i think is a currency that we still want to be going into going forward. cheryl: one of the things we look on a daily basis during the market hours is what the euro is doing versus the dollar. always surprised me that the euro never went below like a $1.22 or so against
economy which means a lot to u.s. companies, but at the same time, the peso, if there is more pressure on that currency, what does that mean for us, do you think? >> so the peso has been pretty interesting because their central bank last week did a little bit of a 180 because they were expecting that they were going to be raising interest rates sometime here in 2013. and they kind of just pulled the rug out underneath it saying, you know, there's the potential that we might actually start...
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Jan 15, 2013
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debt as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix at 13 and change. that's too low. that's where the complacency comes from. you see it there. as we move into the debt ceiling debate, it can be far harder to solve than the taxes, we think the market can be down for a while, and before it comes back up. >> so you're looking for a decline, and perhaps that is an entry point for some. do you agree with that? >> i think any decline is an opportunity to buy, maria. i'm very, very bullish on u.s. equities and one of the main reasons i am the u.s. energy story which i think is a story that's not being told as well as it shou
debt as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix...
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Jan 14, 2013
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economy which is still the biggest economy in the world, if you've got a weak economy, unfortunately, i know you are saying good economy, but some are saying we are going to have a weak economy in 2013, if that's the case, do i want to be high yield? does that make sense to you? >> yeah, it does because high yield you get paid a lot of different ways. high income, risk adjusted return. last year up over 15%. almost as much as equities, but you're still getting paid to take that risk to be in there. global bonds is a win-win-win. you get paid on yield. you get paid on -- for diversification. you get paid on currency risk. so that's a good place to be. and i'm not saying we're in armageddon on the equities side i do like mid caps, but what i think you need to be is make sure just trim back a little bit on equities, and i don't think it's the end of the world. but good economy part is the consumer. we like the consumer because the fed with the quantitative easing is bolstering the consumer through housing, and that's why i think for the consumers, for main street, it's going to feel good
economy which is still the biggest economy in the world, if you've got a weak economy, unfortunately, i know you are saying good economy, but some are saying we are going to have a weak economy in 2013, if that's the case, do i want to be high yield? does that make sense to you? >> yeah, it does because high yield you get paid a lot of different ways. high income, risk adjusted return. last year up over 15%. almost as much as equities, but you're still getting paid to take that risk to be...
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our economy, our financial expectations, and especially our politics have been affected. how do you pay the bills in a single parent family? how do you accumulate wealth? why not ask for help from the government? food stamps, medicaid or cash welfare. why not? why not elect politicians who give you the goodies. that's what we've done. like it or not, the decline in the traditional family affects the vote and it has. and it certainly affects the living standard. and the financial expectations of tens of millions of people. single parenthood is a passport to poverty. it is very difficult to climb up the ladder when you are on your own with children. putting money aside, saving for the future, obviously very tough. so the morality shift takes its toll on the american dream. it creates a large group, almost a majority who struggle and who lose hope of getting out of the hole that they've dug. i don't have a solution. but i do know this, there is a limit to how long this or any government can step in and help. that help may be making the problem worse. she keeps you guessing.
our economy, our financial expectations, and especially our politics have been affected. how do you pay the bills in a single parent family? how do you accumulate wealth? why not ask for help from the government? food stamps, medicaid or cash welfare. why not? why not elect politicians who give you the goodies. that's what we've done. like it or not, the decline in the traditional family affects the vote and it has. and it certainly affects the living standard. and the financial expectations of...
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Jan 16, 2013
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economy. at the same time with quite a bit to do to address our long-term sustainability issues. a lot more work to do, let me be very clear about that. but it's going to be a long haul. it's not going to happen overnight. basically because the government budget represents the values and priorities of the public, and decisions been made about what to spend on, what you tax and so on are very difficult and contentious decisions that will take some time to address. >> well, those is to use -- those issues of course are not the specific purdy of the fed, and so why do we shift gears and talk more specifically about some things that the fed is doing and things that the fed might do. perhaps a way to introduce that is to say that the fed of course is keeping interest rates at close to zero since roughly 2008, and it dug pretty deep into its arsenal, more recently in terms of in particular the very massive asset purchases recently launched its third round, which are intended to bring long-term inter
economy. at the same time with quite a bit to do to address our long-term sustainability issues. a lot more work to do, let me be very clear about that. but it's going to be a long haul. it's not going to happen overnight. basically because the government budget represents the values and priorities of the public, and decisions been made about what to spend on, what you tax and so on are very difficult and contentious decisions that will take some time to address. >> well, those is to use...
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Jan 18, 2013
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don't forget how large that economy is relative to the world economies so i think the market has nothing but not green shoots but blossoming flowers. go buy it. >> so why then, doc, are you still more cautious than the other guys? >> partly because, judge, i like owning options instead of owning equities. i just do. the only times i like owning equities are like for instance when joe and i fight about stocks with nice yield. i mean whether it's a verizon or whether it is intel, if i'm talking about a 4% dividend yielder that i can get in there and write options against it as well and take it to double digits on the return i like that. but i don't like buying apple. i don't like buying a lot of the stocks that don't have the yield, judge, that are attractive to me. instead, i trade the options. >> speaking of verizon i'm glad you mentioned it. next week is a bonanza earnings week. there are so many important companies reporting next week that that is going to decide where this market goes. don't you think? >> yes. the expectations in terms of what the potential growth for eps and the pote
don't forget how large that economy is relative to the world economies so i think the market has nothing but not green shoots but blossoming flowers. go buy it. >> so why then, doc, are you still more cautious than the other guys? >> partly because, judge, i like owning options instead of owning equities. i just do. the only times i like owning equities are like for instance when joe and i fight about stocks with nice yield. i mean whether it's a verizon or whether it is intel, if...
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chances are the economy is going to get better. wouldn't that make you want to buy stocks right now. >> it does. we're not -- we're actually a little bit more bullish, esespecially the first six months of the year. we still are expecting slow growth, commodities where we're shorting assets, but in terms of u.s. and in terms of international, we do expect growth, and we are excited about what's happening, but later on in the year i think it's going to be another story. >> what do you mean by that, later on in the year? what's going to be the upset later on in the year? >> there's a lot more issues coming out in terms of europe later in the year. right now it's all about -- it's all about expectations of positive growth that we have in the u.s., but, you know, we still have issues, and investors have got to focus on -- we've got an incredible spending problem. there's still problems in europe so we don't really believe that this year is going to be like last year, but we do expect small positive returns though. >> rick santelli, i wa
chances are the economy is going to get better. wouldn't that make you want to buy stocks right now. >> it does. we're not -- we're actually a little bit more bullish, esespecially the first six months of the year. we still are expecting slow growth, commodities where we're shorting assets, but in terms of u.s. and in terms of international, we do expect growth, and we are excited about what's happening, but later on in the year i think it's going to be another story. >> what do you...
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and the fed said in its beige book, the economy expanded across much of the country last month, but hiring was hampered by politcial uncertainty coming from washington. todd horwitz of the adam mesh trading group joins us on this thursday morning. good morning to you. a lot of traders are talking 1475 in the s&p 500. what is it going to take to get there? > > good morning. you know, we're close. right now the markets are in a tug of war between the bears and the bulls. they are trying to get to that level. yesterday morning we had big boxcar earnings from j.p. morgan and goldman sachs. that was not enough to propel the markets through those levels. i think the market anticipated a lot of this good news ahead of time. so i think we are going to languish around here. you can see by the falling volatility and the complacent markets that we are probably a little ways away from pushing through that level. > what about citigroup and bank of america, which are now going to report in? > > i think those earnings will probably be just like j.p. morgan and goldman sachs. i think they will probably be
and the fed said in its beige book, the economy expanded across much of the country last month, but hiring was hampered by politcial uncertainty coming from washington. todd horwitz of the adam mesh trading group joins us on this thursday morning. good morning to you. a lot of traders are talking 1475 in the s&p 500. what is it going to take to get there? > > good morning. you know, we're close. right now the markets are in a tug of war between the bears and the bulls. they are trying...
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and what is its impact on the economy and productivity. joining me now is hudson institute senior fellow and former health and human services. nice to have you back. do we have a gauge as to how much this flu will cost the busy con my in businesses? >> unfortunately costing businesses about $10.4 billion. that is real cash it will cost businesses. on the other hand, while businesses need to get work done, they need to be careful not to force people to come to work, spread it, and make it worse. >> a lot of people want it hang on to their jobs. the economy is recovering but we are not back to the best employment yet. a lot of employees feel they have to come in no matter what. >> the truth is, you learned all the things you need to learn in kindergarten. wash your hands well, cough into your sleeve. if you're sick, don't go to sleeve or work. it does put people into a bind and we know it is a tough situation. >> this flu seemed to come earlier than in the past. is that the case? >> we're not sure it is that much worse than other flu seasons
and what is its impact on the economy and productivity. joining me now is hudson institute senior fellow and former health and human services. nice to have you back. do we have a gauge as to how much this flu will cost the busy con my in businesses? >> unfortunately costing businesses about $10.4 billion. that is real cash it will cost businesses. on the other hand, while businesses need to get work done, they need to be careful not to force people to come to work, spread it, and make it...
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economy. so guess what? the stock market is up as the consensus earnings estimate has come down. and so the bear aurchlt lacks an intellectual continuity where they were right on the earnings estimates come down, but they've goes to explain. so you think the as specs further identity are improving as we got past the tax cliff. we're going to get past the spending clip in an ugly way. you have to depend on washington, d.c. to give you some banana republic action before we get to the middle of 2013. but in the middle of 2013, we'll know what all of the rules are. and i think the capital spending orders are going to come back and reinforce the housing improvement that you described as well as a pretty good auto market. >> we are talking all day today because everybody got their paycheck and it is definitely smaller. it's always smaller t beginning of the year. but is there any way that there is a headwind from people just not having as much money? >> yes, there's a headwind for the economy and we
economy. so guess what? the stock market is up as the consensus earnings estimate has come down. and so the bear aurchlt lacks an intellectual continuity where they were right on the earnings estimates come down, but they've goes to explain. so you think the as specs further identity are improving as we got past the tax cliff. we're going to get past the spending clip in an ugly way. you have to depend on washington, d.c. to give you some banana republic action before we get to the middle of...
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Jan 15, 2013
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economy is being under valued. $1.4 trillion is the run-up and i expect the u.s. to outperform again. >> joey? >> i think the u.s. continues to do well and the ultimate indicator is where volatility is. it's incredibly cheap and remains -- insurance can be provided to protect your portfolio. i don't think that the ultimate concerns that the people have. >> we've got news on germany and the german economy, gdp is contracting. it was down half of a percent. in 011 it was up 3% n 2012 it was up .7%. they are the engine for growth there. i'm not sure it's going to work out for you in the first half of the year. for europe, i don't think it's undervalued. it's had a great run into the u.s. >> two major banks report earnings tomorrow. much of the conversation that we're having today certainly directed to what is going on with the banks and what it could mean for the markets. jpmorgan, goldman, ahead of the market tomorrow. joe t., you take yours? >> my position has been goldman sachs, be morgan stanley. it's been that way for a long time. i like the marketplace here. i
economy is being under valued. $1.4 trillion is the run-up and i expect the u.s. to outperform again. >> joey? >> i think the u.s. continues to do well and the ultimate indicator is where volatility is. it's incredibly cheap and remains -- insurance can be provided to protect your portfolio. i don't think that the ultimate concerns that the people have. >> we've got news on germany and the german economy, gdp is contracting. it was down half of a percent. in 011 it was up 3% n...
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two indicators that say a lot about our economy. first off, a lot of people tapping into their 401(k)'s before retirement. billions of dollars being taken out to pay current bills. another one coming at the top of the hour, a number of working poor people growing. millions of families , but they're working at the same time. and that story new at 10 precisely. time is money, 30 seconds, here is what else we've got for you tuesday morning. president obama readying 19 on gun control. the judge will tell us about it. and lance armstrong finally admitting to doping, now he's come clean, is there any way his image can be rehabilitated. i say no way. and thanks to obamacare, the cost of your health insurance could go up as much as 50%. find out why you will be paying a whole lot more t all right, seven earlies, here we go on a tuesday morning. the circuit manufacturer, multi-fine line, less money coming in, the stock is down. retailer, goredman's never heard of them, but gordman's lowered its outlook. and radioshack ended its unprofitable
two indicators that say a lot about our economy. first off, a lot of people tapping into their 401(k)'s before retirement. billions of dollars being taken out to pay current bills. another one coming at the top of the hour, a number of working poor people growing. millions of families , but they're working at the same time. and that story new at 10 precisely. time is money, 30 seconds, here is what else we've got for you tuesday morning. president obama readying 19 on gun control. the judge...
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the caps should go up when the economy is strong and be adjusted down when the economy is not. as i mentioned, we need to expand the number of green cards for foreign nationals who graduate from our colleges and universities with advanced degrees. even with high unemployment we have millions of job openings that go unfilled. either the workers come here to fill those jobs, or let me tell you, ladies and gentlemen, those jobs go somewhere else. and when they do, other jobs go with them. we also need a workable, reliable national employee verification program. now, the e-verify program has been dramatically improved. we are ready to move forward with it nationally provided there is strong preemption language for state and local laws, no obligation to reverify the whole team -- i know companies with 35, 50,000 employees. we certainly don't have to do that. and we need safe harbor for good faith efforts by employers. finally, we need to provide a path out of the shadows for 11 million undocumented immigrants who live in the united states today. with the understanding they will meet
the caps should go up when the economy is strong and be adjusted down when the economy is not. as i mentioned, we need to expand the number of green cards for foreign nationals who graduate from our colleges and universities with advanced degrees. even with high unemployment we have millions of job openings that go unfilled. either the workers come here to fill those jobs, or let me tell you, ladies and gentlemen, those jobs go somewhere else. and when they do, other jobs go with them. we also...
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. >> they are going with the american economy and the global economy. closer you get to the fiscal cliff, i think the less likely it is that the u.s. will be funded over and. >> okay, let me ask about tax reform. mutual political last week that a balanced approach to placing the sequester with benefits and revenues should accelerate tax reform, and i believe it's fully possible this year we work on a bipartisan basis. how does that square with the people that say that the tax reform is going to lose out because of scheduling and needing to deal with the debt ceiling and the looming sequester and house republicans concerned that if they do anything on tax reform, that they may leave themselves open to the senate not taking action. therefore, they have taken in on popular vote for no reason. >> first of all we have to solve this debt crisis in terms of sequestration and in terms of the full faith and credit of the u.s. and. we are not going to accomplish tax reform in the next six weeks. so we have a deadline that cannot basically be moved for what we nee
. >> they are going with the american economy and the global economy. closer you get to the fiscal cliff, i think the less likely it is that the u.s. will be funded over and. >> okay, let me ask about tax reform. mutual political last week that a balanced approach to placing the sequester with benefits and revenues should accelerate tax reform, and i believe it's fully possible this year we work on a bipartisan basis. how does that square with the people that say that the tax reform...
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economy questioned, that kind of drop in confidence has the potential to create the next financial collapse. of course, so does unchecked runaway spending. so, it seems clear, neither is a good option. it's hope washington realizes this. quick check on the markets and it was a mixed day. the dow jones up 18 points. nasdaq down 8. s&p 500 down 1.37 points. the real stock of the day was dell. it is higher today on reports that it is in talks over a possible buyout by private equity firms. take a look. the stock rallied almost 13%. that will do it for us. thank you for being with us. hope you'll follow me on twitter and google plus. stay with cnbc, because "fast money" begins right now. >>> live from the nasdaq market site in new york city's times square. i'm melissa lee. sour apples. shares of the iphone maker slide. is apple turning into forbidden fruit? the mystery event. what facebook could be unveiling in less than 24 hours. we're in countdown mode with one of its biggest investors. and the great rotation into stocks heating up. we get the likely impact. first, our top story. apple shares
economy questioned, that kind of drop in confidence has the potential to create the next financial collapse. of course, so does unchecked runaway spending. so, it seems clear, neither is a good option. it's hope washington realizes this. quick check on the markets and it was a mixed day. the dow jones up 18 points. nasdaq down 8. s&p 500 down 1.37 points. the real stock of the day was dell. it is higher today on reports that it is in talks over a possible buyout by private equity firms....
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Jan 15, 2013
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i bet that this is one of these moments where the world economies are going to be better. i say that because it is the same batehavior i've seen over d over and over again. they are days to buy, not sell. in order to get into this bull market, here is the bottom line, i think this market is simply taking a snooze after a big bull run. but wakes itself up perhaps with my clock and if history serves me right, they go higher not lower and it is turned out that their evaluations ended up being catalysts galore. bob in florida, bob >> it is fwrat to tais great to. south florida by way of teaneck, new jersey. i'm calling about krispy kreme donuts. i sold it and forgot about it and now it seems like they reinvented themselves. the stock is up 70% since mid november and still trading. even talk about take over. >> i believe there is a turn going on. it has been ages since i looked at it. the last time i looked at it i chipped my tooth. i will do more work on it and see where this one can stop. nobody does know. robert in massachusetts, robert. >> booyah jim, hail from massachusett
i bet that this is one of these moments where the world economies are going to be better. i say that because it is the same batehavior i've seen over d over and over again. they are days to buy, not sell. in order to get into this bull market, here is the bottom line, i think this market is simply taking a snooze after a big bull run. but wakes itself up perhaps with my clock and if history serves me right, they go higher not lower and it is turned out that their evaluations ended up being...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the chinese economy is obviously a major and inner ene ener -- f iron ore. it looks that the fundamentals are in place for an aussie breakout. >> give us your levels, todd. >> sure. the australian dollar, technically speaking, is facing a breakout, 1.06. this is a range that's been in place for almost a year and a half. so, 1.06 is the entrillion on a weekly break. you want to take profit up around 110. >> all right, todd, thank you for that. todd gordon of aspen. and more money in motion every friday, 5:30 p.m. eastern time. tim, in terms of the iron ore, we saw big spikes in the price in fourth quarter in china. >> yeah, how about a vej mite sandwich, too? you have big chinese data coming out, but iron ore, goldman has that note out. watch that chart. >> let's play a little good, bad and ugly and tonight -- stars dan nay tan. first up, dan said to keep an eye on yahoo!. take a listen. >> the mighty goldman sachs reinitiated the stock with a buy of $22, 12-month price target. they say the sum of the parts is much greater. i actually agree. implied volatilit
the chinese economy is obviously a major and inner ene ener -- f iron ore. it looks that the fundamentals are in place for an aussie breakout. >> give us your levels, todd. >> sure. the australian dollar, technically speaking, is facing a breakout, 1.06. this is a range that's been in place for almost a year and a half. so, 1.06 is the entrillion on a weekly break. you want to take profit up around 110. >> all right, todd, thank you for that. todd gordon of aspen. and more...
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Jan 15, 2013
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if they do this, what happens to the economy, the stock market? >> well, i would think that financial markets have had enough warning of a possible downgrade of the u.s. aaa credit rating by an agency other than s&p, and thus perhaps it would not have that damaging impact. the downgrade was not especially g. that being said there will be a negative psychological shock that will temporarily send share prices sharply lower, but provided that policymakers in washington could reassure markets that washington is going to do more to stabilize the budget. maybe that -- gerri: it makes into the pipe. they did it -- did not to say there are going to downgraded if we did not like the debt ceiling prices go away. they also said the current outlook is likely to be resolved even if another debt ceiling crisis is averted. they want to see spending cut. now, do you think that the markets would go to town if there was some big deal on spending? >> i think if substantial progress was made at kirby expenditures over time so that this threat of a data rate could be
if they do this, what happens to the economy, the stock market? >> well, i would think that financial markets have had enough warning of a possible downgrade of the u.s. aaa credit rating by an agency other than s&p, and thus perhaps it would not have that damaging impact. the downgrade was not especially g. that being said there will be a negative psychological shock that will temporarily send share prices sharply lower, but provided that policymakers in washington could reassure...
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Jan 18, 2013
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this is a positive thing for the city and the economy. >> the wrights flu in from florida. >> we -- flew in from florida. >> we're excited to be here and engage in an american tradition. >> despite all the people coming to town, there are still open hotel rooms. occupancy ratings are about 70% right now they were 90% four years ago. you can expect to see deals out there this weekend. reporting live in northwest washington suzanne kennedy. >> now as businesses prepare for a busy three days the transit is getting ready for >> the rush is on already as hundreds of people are inside trying to transform this convention center into a three-story party place. they have three days left to get ready for tens of thousands of party goers. in 2009, the president and the first lady appeared at 10 narble balls. >> the president will dance at all three levels. >> the top floor is reserved for the commander in chief ball and the only place you will see the presidential sale. one floor down it is set for the kids narble -- inaugural concert. >> brad paisley, jennifer hudson smoky robinson, and usher. >>
this is a positive thing for the city and the economy. >> the wrights flu in from florida. >> we -- flew in from florida. >> we're excited to be here and engage in an american tradition. >> despite all the people coming to town, there are still open hotel rooms. occupancy ratings are about 70% right now they were 90% four years ago. you can expect to see deals out there this weekend. reporting live in northwest washington suzanne kennedy. >> now as businesses...